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23 February 2006

New Zogby Poll on Bush's Approval Ratings

I know that some do not like polls, but for those who do, here's one of the latest.


President's job approval rating now stable, but base weakened by weight of Iraq War concerns, new Zogby International telephone poll shows

As America marks its official Presidents Day holiday, the nation's likely voters appear to have settled on a somewhat negative appraisal of work done by the current occupant of the White House, a new nationwide Zogby International telephone poll shows.

After slight moves above and below the 40% job approval mark over the course of the past few months, that's now the percentage of respondents who give him high marks for his leadership, while 60% said he deserves only fair to poor marks, the survey shows. As is usually the case, a similar percentage -- 42% -- said they believe the nation is moving in the right direction.

What is remarkable in this latest poll, conducted Feb. 15-18, 2006, is that President Bush shows weakness among the demographic groups that have comprised the heart of his political base over the past five years, according to Pollster John Zogby, President and CEO of Zogby International (Mr. Zogby's commentary on the poll is included below).

Bush performs best in the South, where 45% give him a positive rating, and the West, where 43% approve of his work. In the Central and Great Lakes region, he wins approval from 39%, while just 34% in the East give him passing marks.

Asked which two issues were the most important facing the nation right now, respondents said the war in Iraq and the war on terror were tops, with jobs and the economy considered the third-most important. Health care issues rated a distant fourth place. While Democrats and Republicans agreed that Iraq and terrorism were the two most important issues, they differed dramatically on which of the two issues was most important. Democrats said the Iraq war is clearly the most important matter facing the nation, while Republicans instead believe the war on terrorism was the most pressing concern.

Just 37% said Bush was doing an "excellent" or "good" job managing the war in Iraq, while 44% said he was doing well managing the broader war on terror.

Slightly more than one in every three -- 35% -- said the President was doing a good job handling foreign policy in general.

Pollster John Zogby: On Bush, his overall approval/disapproval rating is 40%-60%, but he has his lowest support yet from those groups who make up his political base. Among both conservatives and those who consider themselves very conservative, 61% approve of the job he is doing. He gets only 32% of independents, and only 73% among Republicans -- his lowest rating yet. Even rural voters give him just 50% approval, and 59% among those who say they are born again spiritually -- marking the lowest ratings from both of these demographic groups. And Bush remains low among men, married voters and investors.

As for Iraq, his approval/ disapproval rating stands at 37%-63%; just 12% of Democrats approve of his handling of the war, compared to 88% who disapprove, which are percentages similar to our last poll. Among independents, 26% approve of his war leadership, while 74% do not, which is down slightly from our last survey. Only 68% of Republicans support his handling of the war.

On his management of the war on terror, Bush wins 43% approval, down from 67%at the time of his re-election almost 16 months ago.

In a recent Zogby International telephone survey of likely voters nationwide, Mr. Bush ranked in the bottom half when respondents considered the "greatness" or "near-greatness" of the presidents of the modern era, stretching back to Franklin D. Roosevelt. While the incumbent ranked just under President Carter and his father, George Herbert Walker Bush, President Kennedy topped the list, considered "great" or "near-great" by 73%.

The latest survey measuring Bush's job approval rating, conducted Feb. 15-18, 2006, included 1,039 interviews with likely voters nationwide. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.

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